Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
Bracketology
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PREVIOUS YEAR BRACKET PROJECTIONS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records may be wrong in years before 2015 they were generated using conference standings in the 2014-15 season. This will affect the auto-qualifiers as well.
2023 Final Projection
2022 Final Projection
2021 Final Projection
2020 Final Projection
2019 Final Projection
2018 Final Projection
2017 Final Projection
2016 Final Projection
2015 Final Projection
2014 Final Projection
2013 Final Projection
2012 Final Projection
2011 Final Projection
2010 Final Projection

AUTOMATIC SYSTEM BRACKETOLOGY

FINAL 2013 BRACKET PROJECTION

Rank Seed Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 1 Louisville ACC 29 - 5 3 - 3 25.28
2 1 Duke ACC 27 - 5 14 - 3 24.39
3 1 New Mexico MWC 29 - 5 13 - 3 23.35
4 1 Kansas BIG12 29 - 5 14 - 4 23.14
5 2 Gonzaga WCC 31 - 2 17 - 0 22.41
6 2 Indiana Big10 27 - 6 14 - 4 22.26
7 2 Miami ACC 27 - 6 14 - 3 22.12
8 2 Ohio State Big10 26 - 7 13 - 5 21.24
9 3 Georgetown BE 25 - 6 6 - 2 21.05
10 3 Michigan State Big10 25 - 8 13 - 5 20.37
11 3 Saint Louis A10 27 - 6 10 - 1 20.27
12 3 Florida SEC 26 - 7 14 - 4 20.15
13 4 Syracuse ACC 26 - 9 2 - 2 18.96
14 4 Memphis Amer 30 - 4 8 - 0 18.53
15 4 Michigan Big10 26 - 7 12 - 6 18.43
16 4 Arizona PAC12 25 - 7 12 - 6 18.2
17 5 Marquette BE 23 - 8 6 - 3 18.05
18 5 Wisconsin Big10 23 - 11 12 - 6 17.7
19 5 Kansas State BIG12 27 - 7 14 - 4 17.55
20 5 Butler BE 26 - 8 2 - 0 17.02
21 6 Oklahoma State BIG12 24 - 8 13 - 5 16.99
22 6 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 25 - 9 10 - 6 16.76
23 6 Virginia Commonwealth A10 26 - 8 9 - 3 16.56
24 6 Pittsburgh ACC 24 - 8 1 - 2 16.5
25 7 Creighton BE 27 - 7 0 - 0 16.43
26 7 UCLA PAC12 25 - 9 13 - 5 16.32
27 7 Notre Dame ACC 25 - 9 2 - 2 15.94
28 7 Colorado State MWC 25 - 8 11 - 5 15.72
29 8 North Carolina ACC 24 - 10 10 - 6 15.68
30 8 Missouri SEC 23 - 10 11 - 7 15.29
31 8 San Diego State MWC 22 - 10 9 - 7 15.17
32 8 Saint Marys WCC 27 - 6 15 - 3 14.9
33 9 NC State ACC 24 - 10 11 - 6 14.86
34 9 Oregon PAC12 26 - 8 12 - 6 14.4
35 9 Mississippi SEC 26 - 8 12 - 6 14.23
36 9 Belmont OVC 26 - 6 14 - 2 14.18
37 10 Minnesota Big10 20 - 12 8 - 10 14.08
38 10 Temple Amer 23 - 9 0 - 0 14.06
39 10 Cincinnati Amer 22 - 11 2 - 1 13.92
40 10 Wichita State MVC 26 - 8 11 - 5 13.85
41 11 Illinois Big10 22 - 12 8 - 10 13.73
42 11 Colorado PAC12 21 - 11 10 - 8 13.47
43 11 Middle Tennessee CUSA 28 - 5 9 - 0 13.43
44 11 Connecticut Amer 20 - 10 2 - 2 13.42
45 11 Iowa State BIG12 22 - 11 11 - 7 13.39
46 12 Boise State MWC 21 - 10 9 - 7 12.74
47 12 Villanova BE 20 - 13 4 - 3 12.71
48 California PAC12 20 - 11 12 - 6 12.62
49 La Salle A10 21 - 9 10 - 2 12.52
50 Oklahoma BIG12 20 - 11 11 - 7 12.51
51 12 Akron MAC 26 - 6 14 - 2 12.49
52 Kentucky SEC 21 - 11 12 - 6 11.89
53 Southern Miss CUSA 25 - 9 6 - 2 11.54
54 Tennessee SEC 20 - 12 11 - 7 11.09
55 12 Bucknell PAT 28 - 5 13 - 2 10.92
56 Virginia ACC 21 - 11 9 - 7 10.73
57 Massachusetts A10 21 - 11 8 - 4 10.5
58 Maryland Big10 22 - 12 1 - 0 10.1
59 Iowa Big10 21 - 12 9 - 9 10.06
60 Denver SUM 21 - 9 1 - 0 9.71
61 Louisiana Tech CUSA 26 - 6 3 - 0 9.7
62 12 Valparaiso HOR 26 - 7 12 - 3 9.61
63 13 New Mexico State WAC 24 - 10 2 - 0 9.5
64 Alabama SEC 21 - 12 12 - 6 9.37
65 Baylor BIG12 18 - 14 9 - 9 9.31
66 Davidson A10 26 - 7 1 - 0 9.03
67 Stanford PAC12 18 - 14 9 - 9 8.9
68 Stephen F Austin SLND 27 - 4 14 - 2 8.74
69 Providence BE 17 - 14 5 - 3 8.33
70 Arizona State PAC12 21 - 12 9 - 9 8.19
71 Northern Iowa MVC 18 - 14 10 - 6 8.08
72 Xavier BE 17 - 14 0 - 1 8.08
73 Brigham Young WCC 21 - 11 10 - 6 7.98
74 Saint Josephs A10 18 - 13 6 - 6 7.9
75 Indiana State MVC 18 - 14 8 - 8 7.89
76 13 South Dakota State SUM 25 - 9 10 - 2 7.75
77 Air Force MWC 17 - 13 8 - 8 7.69
78 Charlotte CUSA 21 - 11 0 - 0 7.64
79 Washington PAC12 18 - 15 9 - 9 7.52
80 Ohio MAC 24 - 9 14 - 2 7.41
81 Detroit HOR 20 - 12 10 - 4 7.24
82 Arkansas SEC 19 - 13 10 - 8 7.17
83 Louisiana State SEC 19 - 12 9 - 9 6.79
84 Florida State ACC 18 - 15 7 - 9 6.61
85 Stony Brook AE 24 - 7 12 - 2 6.53
86 Wyoming MWC 19 - 13 4 - 12 6.5
87 Saint Johns BE 16 - 15 3 - 5 6.39
88 Weber State BSky 26 - 6 18 - 2 6.24
89 Santa Clara WCC 21 - 11 10 - 7 6.19
90 Evansville MVC 18 - 14 10 - 6 6.12
91 13 Montana BSky 25 - 6 20 - 1 6.04
92 North Dakota State SUM 24 - 9 9 - 3 5.93
93 Purdue Big10 15 - 17 8 - 10 5.84
94 Dayton A10 17 - 14 5 - 6 5.81
95 Texas AM SEC 18 - 15 7 - 11 5.81
96 Richmond A10 18 - 14 6 - 8 5.73
97 13 Northwestern State SLND 23 - 8 14 - 2 5.62
98 Central Florida Amer 20 - 11 6 - 4 5.5
99 Texas El Paso CUSA 18 - 14 3 - 2 5.49
100 14 Harvard IVY 19 - 9 11 - 3 5.46
101 Vanderbilt SEC 16 - 17 8 - 10 5.43
102 Illinois State MVC 18 - 15 7 - 9 5.43
103 Pacific WCC 22 - 12 2 - 3 5.35
104 Southern California PAC12 14 - 18 9 - 9 5.23
105 Eastern Kentucky OVC 24 - 9 12 - 4 5.13
106 Texas BIG12 16 - 17 7 - 11 5.02
107 14 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 24 - 10 11 - 3 4.85
108 Boston College ACC 16 - 17 6 - 10 4.73
109 14 Iona MAAC 20 - 13 9 - 8 4.66
110 Nebraska Big10 15 - 18 5 - 13 4.66
111 Utah State MWC 21 - 10 2 - 0 4.58
112 Rutgers Big10 15 - 16 0 - 0 4.51
113 Lehigh PAT 21 - 9 10 - 4 4.36
114 Georgia Tech ACC 16 - 15 5 - 12 4.28
115 Murray State OVC 21 - 10 10 - 6 4.18
116 Georgia SEC 15 - 17 9 - 9 4.09
117 Princeton IVY 17 - 11 10 - 4 3.81
118 Kent State MAC 20 - 13 9 - 7 3.76
119 Loyola MD PAT 21 - 11 0 - 1 3.72
120 Utah PAC12 15 - 18 5 - 13 3.67
121 East Carolina Amer 18 - 12 5 - 3 3.44
122 Fresno State MWC 11 - 19 5 - 11 3.34
123 Tennessee State OVC 18 - 14 11 - 5 3.33
124 Mercer SC 23 - 11 4 - 0 3.2
125 Drake MVC 15 - 17 6 - 10 3.1
126 College of Charleston CAA 24 - 10 2 - 0 3.1
127 Canisius MAAC 18 - 13 10 - 6 3.09
128 Saint Bonaventure A10 14 - 15 5 - 7 3.06
129 Texas Arlington SUN 19 - 13 2 - 0 3.04
130 Robert Morris NEC 23 - 10 11 - 3 2.78
131 Niagara MAAC 19 - 13 12 - 4 2.78
132 14 Albany AE 24 - 10 9 - 5 2.57
133 Seton Hall BE 15 - 18 2 - 6 2.57
134 Western Illinois SUM 22 - 8 10 - 2 2.52
135 Wright State HOR 21 - 12 8 - 6 2.48
136 Florida International CUSA 18 - 14 3 - 5 2.26
137 Vermont AE 21 - 11 11 - 3 2.18
138 George Washington A10 13 - 17 6 - 6 2.04
139 Green Bay HOR 18 - 15 8 - 6 1.95
140 Long Beach State BW 19 - 13 13 - 3 1.95
141 South Florida Amer 12 - 19 2 - 3 1.87
142 Cal Poly BW 18 - 13 11 - 5 1.71
143 UC Irvine BW 20 - 15 10 - 6 1.64
144 Northwestern Big10 13 - 19 4 - 15 1.58
145 Northeastern CAA 20 - 12 10 - 2 1.52
146 West Virginia BIG12 13 - 19 6 - 12 1.46
147 Oregon State PAC12 14 - 18 4 - 14 1.39
148 Tulsa Amer 17 - 15 4 - 5 1.38
149 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 18 6 - 10 1.32
150 Boston PAT 17 - 12 0 - 0 1.28
151 Western Michigan MAC 20 - 12 10 - 6 1.25
152 Arkansas State SUN 19 - 12 7 - 3 1.19
153 San Francisco WCC 15 - 16 7 - 10 1.17
154 Lafayette PAT 19 - 15 10 - 4 1.17
155 Delaware CAA 19 - 14 8 - 5 1.16
156 Rider MAAC 18 - 14 12 - 5 1.02
157 Wagner NEC 19 - 12 10 - 5 0.92
158 North Carolina Central MEAC 22 - 9 15 - 1 0.89
159 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 16 - 17 4 - 3 0.88
160 George Mason A10 18 - 14 2 - 0 0.52
161 South Alabama SUN 17 - 12 8 - 3 0.46
162 Oral Roberts SUM 18 - 14 0 - 0 0.46
163 15 Towson CAA 18 - 13 10 - 4 0.44
164 San Diego WCC 16 - 18 7 - 9 0.39
165 Bryant NEC 19 - 11 10 - 5 0.34
166 Washington State PAC12 13 - 19 4 - 14 0.3
167 15 Western Kentucky CUSA 20 - 15 3 - 6 0.3
168 Mt St Marys NEC 18 - 14 8 - 7 0.3
169 Nevada MWC 12 - 19 3 - 13 0.17
170 Penn State Big10 10 - 21 2 - 16 -0.01
171 Clemson ACC 13 - 18 5 - 12 -0.04
172 15 LIU Brooklyn NEC 20 - 13 9 - 5 -0.26
173 Virginia Tech ACC 13 - 19 4 - 12 -0.42
174 Tulane Amer 19 - 14 3 - 6 -0.45
175 Fairfield MAAC 19 - 15 9 - 7 -0.56
176 Illinois Chicago HOR 17 - 15 6 - 8 -0.59
177 Jacksonville State OVC 17 - 11 8 - 8 -0.62
178 Oakland HOR 16 - 16 1 - 0 -0.8
179 15 Southern SWAC 23 - 9 15 - 3 -0.81
180 James Madison CAA 20 - 14 9 - 3 -0.91
181 Norfolk State MEAC 21 - 11 16 - 0 -1.22
182 Manhattan MAAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 -1.26
183 Southern Illinois MVC 14 - 17 6 - 10 -1.3
184 Texas Southern SWAC 17 - 14 16 - 2 -1.44
185 Houston Amer 19 - 12 3 - 6 -1.47
186 Bradley MVC 16 - 16 7 - 9 -1.66
187 Elon CAA 21 - 11 0 - 1 -1.79
188 Toledo MAC 15 - 13 10 - 6 -1.81
189 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 17 - 15 5 - 5 -2.08
190 Hartford AE 17 - 13 8 - 6 -2.11
191 Gardner Webb BSth 21 - 12 10 - 5 -2.17
192 Youngstown State HOR 17 - 15 5 - 9 -2.31
193 Rhode Island A10 8 - 21 3 - 10 -2.44
194 Morehead State OVC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -2.45
195 Charleston Southern BSth 19 - 12 11 - 4 -2.47
196 Savannah State MEAC 19 - 14 11 - 5 -2.62
197 DePaul BE 11 - 21 1 - 6 -2.75
198 Idaho BSky 12 - 18 2 - 1 -2.93
199 Quinnipiac MAAC 15 - 16 2 - 0 -2.94
200 South Carolina SEC 14 - 18 4 - 14 -3.03
201 Missouri State MVC 11 - 22 7 - 9 -3.06
202 Yale IVY 14 - 17 8 - 6 -3.08
203 Army PAT 16 - 15 8 - 6 -3.29
204 Texas Tech BIG12 11 - 20 3 - 15 -3.29
205 16 Georgia State SUN 15 - 16 1 - 2 -3.51
206 Buffalo MAC 14 - 20 7 - 9 -3.53
207 Drexel CAA 13 - 18 5 - 7 -3.6
208 Hawaii BW 17 - 14 9 - 7 -3.61
209 Marshall CUSA 13 - 19 2 - 4 -3.72
210 Loyola Ill MVC 15 - 16 0 - 0 -4.23
211 Mississippi State SEC 10 - 22 4 - 14 -4.28
212 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 23 1 - 15 -4.57
213 Southern Methodist Amer 15 - 17 2 - 7 -4.6
214 UNC Asheville BSth 16 - 16 9 - 6 -4.67
215 Central Connecticut State NEC 13 - 17 7 - 8 -4.69
216 16 North Carolina AT MEAC 19 - 16 8 - 8 -4.72
217 Stetson ASUN 15 - 16 10 - 4 -4.83
218 SE Missouri State OVC 17 - 16 8 - 8 -4.89
219 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -5.18
220 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 16 - 14 15 - 3 -5.22
221 Pepperdine WCC 12 - 18 4 - 12 -5.28
222 Cleveland State HOR 14 - 18 5 - 9 -5.37
223 Morgan State MEAC 17 - 15 10 - 6 -5.37
224 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 14 - 16 3 - 1 -5.4
225 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 16 - 17 7 - 7 -5.41
226 North Dakota BSky 16 - 16 12 - 8 -5.53
227 UC Davis BW 14 - 17 9 - 7 -5.54
228 Sam Houston State SLND 17 - 17 9 - 8 -5.54
229 Florida Atlantic CUSA 14 - 18 3 - 5 -5.56
230 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 12 - 18 7 - 7 -5.6
231 IPFW SUM 16 - 17 4 - 8 -5.61
232 Auburn SEC 9 - 23 3 - 15 -5.71
233 Portland WCC 11 - 21 4 - 12 -5.89
234 Fordham A10 7 - 24 3 - 9 -5.9
235 Texas Christian BIG12 11 - 21 2 - 16 -5.91
236 UL Lafayette SUN 13 - 20 5 - 5 -5.96
237 Duquesne A10 8 - 22 0 - 12 -5.98
238 Brown IVY 13 - 15 7 - 7 -5.98
239 High Point BSth 17 - 13 10 - 4 -6.09
240 UC Santa Barbara BW 11 - 20 6 - 10 -6.35
241 Columbia IVY 12 - 16 4 - 10 -6.41
242 Southeast Louisiana SLND 13 - 18 10 - 6 -6.45
243 Eastern Michigan MAC 16 - 18 7 - 9 -6.46
244 North Florida ASUN 13 - 19 7 - 7 -6.68
245 16 Cal State Northridge BW 14 - 17 5 - 11 -7.08
246 Appalachian State SUN 15 - 16 2 - 0 -7.2
247 South Dakota SUM 10 - 20 4 - 8 -7.26
248 Coastal Carolina BSth 14 - 15 8 - 7 -7.34
249 Marist MAAC 10 - 21 5 - 11 -7.36
250 Texas State SUN 12 - 22 0 - 2 -7.41
251 Lipscomb ASUN 12 - 18 6 - 8 -7.43
252 Bowling Green MAC 13 - 19 7 - 9 -7.44
253 Texas San Antonio CUSA 10 - 22 1 - 2 -7.48
254 Northern Colorado BSky 13 - 18 10 - 10 -7.49
255 North Texas CUSA 12 - 20 3 - 5 -7.55
256 Wofford SC 13 - 19 4 - 5 -7.66
257 Cal State Fullerton BW 14 - 18 6 - 10 -7.72
258 Tennessee Tech OVC 12 - 17 5 - 11 -7.76
259 Northern Kentucky ASUN 11 - 16 7 - 7 -7.79
260 Western Carolina SC 14 - 19 7 - 2 -7.8
261 Cornell IVY 13 - 18 5 - 9 -7.83
262 Mcneese State SLND 14 - 17 6 - 10 -8.11
263 Winthrop BSth 14 - 17 6 - 9 -8.12
264 Holy Cross PAT 12 - 18 4 - 10 -8.17
265 Georgia Southern SUN 14 - 19 1 - 2 -8.32
266 Maine AE 11 - 19 5 - 9 -8.39
267 William and Mary CAA 13 - 17 4 - 8 -8.45
268 Delaware State MEAC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -8.76
269 Central Michigan MAC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -8.77
270 Hampton MEAC 14 - 17 11 - 5 -8.78
271 Sacred Heart NEC 9 - 20 5 - 10 -8.99
272 Pennsylvania IVY 9 - 22 6 - 8 -9.07
273 Troy SUN 12 - 21 6 - 5 -9.1
274 16 Liberty BSth 15 - 20 6 - 8 -9.17
275 Sacramento State BSky 14 - 15 8 - 12 -9.36
276 Eastern Illinois OVC 11 - 21 6 - 10 -9.38
277 Miami OH MAC 9 - 22 3 - 13 -9.45
278 Central Arkansas SLND 13 - 17 6 - 10 -9.47
279 American PAT 10 - 20 5 - 9 -9.6
280 Jacksonville ASUN 14 - 18 7 - 7 -9.64
281 Colgate PAT 11 - 21 5 - 9 -9.68
282 Bethune Cookman MEAC 14 - 20 7 - 9 -9.69
283 NJ Tech Ind 16 - 13 4 - 0 -9.79
284 San Jose State MWC 9 - 20 0 - 2 -9.88
285 Northern Arizona BSky 11 - 21 8 - 12 -9.89
286 Seattle WAC 8 - 22 0 - 3 -9.97
287 Chattanooga SC 13 - 19 6 - 5 -10.5
288 Omaha SUM 11 - 20 4 - 9 -10.51
289 Samford SC 11 - 21 6 - 4 -10.6
290 Dartmouth IVY 9 - 19 5 - 9 -10.61
291 East Tennessee State SC 10 - 22 0 - 2 -10.66
292 Saint Peters MAAC 9 - 21 3 - 13 -10.8
293 Campbell BSth 13 - 20 6 - 8 -10.8
294 Monmouth MAAC 10 - 21 0 - 2 -11.04
295 New Hampshire AE 9 - 20 5 - 9 -11.05
296 Nicholls State SLND 9 - 21 9 - 9 -11.21
297 Montana State BSky 13 - 17 10 - 10 -11.53
298 Siena MAAC 8 - 24 4 - 12 -11.71
299 UMKC WAC 8 - 24 0 - 1 -11.75
300 Texas Pan American WAC 16 - 16 4 - 1 -11.76
301 Utah Valley WAC 14 - 18 3 - 4 -12.07
302 Virginia Military Institute SC 14 - 17 0 - 1 -12.17
303 Jackson State SWAC 11 - 18 9 - 9 -12.31
304 Houston Baptist SLND 14 - 17 2 - 1 -12.32
305 UMBC AE 8 - 23 5 - 9 -12.45
306 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 20 2 - 11 -12.5
307 Eastern Washington BSky 10 - 21 7 - 14 -12.56
308 SIU Edwardsville OVC 9 - 18 5 - 11 -12.71
309 Southern Utah BSky 11 - 20 8 - 12 -12.72
310 Milwaukee HOR 8 - 24 2 - 12 -12.8
311 Old Dominion CUSA 5 - 25 0 - 1 -12.93
312 Prairie View SWAC 15 - 19 8 - 10 -13.04
313 Tennessee Martin OVC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -13.15
314 Chicago State WAC 11 - 21 1 - 3 -13.16
315 Radford BSth 13 - 19 6 - 8 -13.23
316 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 24 5 - 11 -13.82
317 Texas AM CC SLND 6 - 23 5 - 11 -13.85
318 Navy PAT 8 - 23 2 - 12 -14.03
319 Austin Peay OVC 8 - 23 4 - 12 -14.21
320 Alcorn State SWAC 10 - 24 8 - 10 -14.33
321 UL Monroe SUN 4 - 23 0 - 10 -14.43
322 UNC Greensboro SC 9 - 22 6 - 5 -14.76
323 Hofstra CAA 7 - 25 2 - 11 -14.94
324 Saint Francis Penn NEC 5 - 24 4 - 10 -15.18
325 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 7 - 24 2 - 13 -15.33
326 Rice CUSA 5 - 26 0 - 5 -15.48
327 Alabama AM SWAC 11 - 20 6 - 12 -15.95
328 Portland State BSky 8 - 20 5 - 15 -16.29
329 IUPUI SUM 6 - 26 1 - 11 -16.41
330 Alabama State SWAC 10 - 22 8 - 10 -16.43
331 Northern Illinois MAC 5 - 25 3 - 13 -16.48
332 The Citadel SC 8 - 22 4 - 7 -16.67
333 UC Riverside BW 6 - 25 3 - 13 -17.11
334 Longwood BSth 8 - 25 4 - 10 -17.38
335 Idaho State BSky 6 - 24 5 - 16 -17.56
336 Florida AM MEAC 8 - 23 5 - 11 -17.64
337 Howard MEAC 7 - 24 4 - 12 -17.93
338 Presbyterian BSth 8 - 24 4 - 11 -18.79
339 Furman SC 7 - 24 2 - 8 -19.33
340 Kennesaw St ASUN 3 - 27 1 - 13 -19.41
341 Lamar SLND 3 - 28 1 - 15 -19.58
342 South Carolina State MEAC 6 - 24 2 - 14 -19.73
343 Binghamton AE 3 - 27 1 - 13 -19.91
344 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 5 - 23 5 - 13 -20.04
345 New Orleans SLND 8 - 18 1 - 3 -21.12
346 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 2 - 26 2 - 14 -21.52
347 Grambling State SWAC 0 - 28 0 - 18 -30