Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
Bracketology
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PREVIOUS YEAR BRACKET PROJECTIONS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records may be wrong in years before 2015 they were generated using conference standings in the 2014-15 season. This will affect the auto-qualifiers as well.
2023 Final Projection
2022 Final Projection
2021 Final Projection
2020 Final Projection
2019 Final Projection
2018 Final Projection
2017 Final Projection
2016 Final Projection
2015 Final Projection
2014 Final Projection
2013 Final Projection
2012 Final Projection
2011 Final Projection
2010 Final Projection

AUTOMATIC SYSTEM BRACKETOLOGY

FINAL 2012 BRACKET PROJECTION

Rank Seed Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 1 Kentucky SEC 32 - 2 16 - 0 25.83
2 1 Syracuse ACC 31 - 2 5 - 1 25.03
3 1 Michigan State Big10 27 - 7 13 - 5 23.61
4 1 North Carolina ACC 29 - 5 12 - 2 23.25
5 2 Ohio State Big10 27 - 7 13 - 5 22.28
6 2 Kansas BIG12 27 - 6 13 - 1 21.8
7 2 Duke ACC 27 - 6 11 - 3 21.51
8 2 Missouri SEC 30 - 4 2 - 0 21.08
9 3 Florida State ACC 24 - 9 11 - 4 18.93
10 3 Baylor BIG12 27 - 7 11 - 4 18.82
11 3 Memphis Amer 26 - 8 7 - 1 18.73
12 3 Marquette BE 25 - 7 7 - 1 18.68
13 4 Louisville ACC 26 - 9 2 - 3 18.38
14 4 Georgetown BE 23 - 8 7 - 2 18.19
15 4 Vanderbilt SEC 24 - 10 10 - 6 17.83
16 4 Wichita State MVC 27 - 5 15 - 1 17.8
17 5 Wisconsin Big10 24 - 9 12 - 6 17.79
18 5 Indiana Big10 25 - 8 11 - 7 17.76
19 5 Michigan Big10 24 - 9 13 - 5 17.29
20 5 New Mexico MWC 27 - 6 9 - 3 16.99
21 6 Temple Amer 24 - 7 0 - 0 16.87
22 6 Murray State OVC 30 - 1 15 - 1 16.79
23 6 Creighton BE 28 - 5 0 - 0 15.81
24 6 Gonzaga WCC 25 - 6 13 - 3 15.56
25 7 Florida SEC 23 - 10 11 - 6 15.42
26 7 San Diego State MWC 26 - 7 8 - 4 15.02
27 7 Saint Marys WCC 27 - 5 14 - 2 14.92
28 7 Cincinnati Amer 24 - 10 1 - 1 14.83
29 8 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 26 - 8 9 - 4 14.81
30 8 Saint Louis A10 25 - 7 9 - 3 14.56
31 8 Notre Dame ACC 22 - 11 3 - 0 13.71
32 8 Kansas State BIG12 21 - 10 6 - 9 13.65
33 9 Southern Miss CUSA 25 - 8 4 - 3 13.63
34 9 Alabama SEC 21 - 11 9 - 7 13.31
35 9 Harvard IVY 26 - 4 12 - 2 13.07
36 9 Iowa State BIG12 22 - 10 10 - 4 13.06
37 10 Connecticut Amer 20 - 13 1 - 2 13.04
38 10 Purdue Big10 21 - 12 10 - 8 12.59
39 10 Virginia Commonwealth A10 28 - 6 3 - 1 12.02
40 10 Xavier BE 21 - 12 1 - 0 11.91
41 11 California PAC12 24 - 9 13 - 5 11.85
42 11 Texas BIG12 20 - 13 7 - 7 11.76
43 11 Colorado State MWC 20 - 11 7 - 5 11.66
44 11 West Virginia BIG12 19 - 13 1 - 1 11.55
45 12 Virginia ACC 22 - 9 7 - 7 11.48
46 12 Long Beach State BW 25 - 8 13 - 1 11.29
47 12 NC State ACC 22 - 12 8 - 8 11.27
48 Miami ACC 19 - 12 8 - 6 11.15
49 Marshall CUSA 21 - 13 4 - 2 11.04
50 Belmont OVC 27 - 7 3 - 0 10.94
51 Drexel CAA 27 - 6 12 - 1 10.94
52 Brigham Young WCC 25 - 8 12 - 4 10.88
53 South Florida Amer 20 - 13 1 - 1 10.87
54 Oral Roberts SUM 27 - 6 11 - 1 10.48
55 12 Ohio MAC 27 - 7 11 - 5 10.47
56 Seton Hall BE 20 - 12 4 - 3 10.27
57 Oregon PAC12 22 - 9 13 - 5 10.25
58 Tennessee SEC 18 - 14 10 - 6 10.16
59 12 South Dakota State SUM 27 - 7 10 - 2 10.07
60 Iona MAAC 25 - 7 14 - 2 10.06
61 Arizona PAC12 23 - 11 12 - 6 10
62 12 New Mexico State WAC 26 - 9 2 - 0 9.98
63 13 Colorado PAC12 23 - 11 11 - 7 9.97
64 Central Florida Amer 22 - 10 7 - 2 9.94
65 Dayton A10 20 - 12 6 - 6 9.93
66 Akron MAC 22 - 11 13 - 3 9.71
67 Northwestern Big10 18 - 13 8 - 10 9.67
68 Middle Tennessee CUSA 25 - 6 6 - 2 9.57
69 Saint Bonaventure A10 20 - 11 9 - 4 9.55
70 Massachusetts A10 22 - 11 8 - 6 9.46
71 Davidson A10 25 - 7 1 - 1 9.38
72 Saint Josephs A10 20 - 13 8 - 4 9.32
73 Washington PAC12 21 - 10 14 - 4 9.22
74 Mississippi SEC 20 - 13 8 - 8 9.19
75 Mississippi State SEC 21 - 11 9 - 8 9.17
76 Nevada MWC 26 - 6 6 - 1 8.92
77 13 Montana BSky 25 - 6 16 - 2 8.66
78 Minnesota Big10 19 - 14 6 - 12 8.34
79 Princeton IVY 19 - 11 10 - 4 8.01
80 La Salle A10 21 - 12 7 - 5 7.89
81 Stanford PAC12 21 - 11 10 - 8 7.66
82 Northern Iowa MVC 19 - 13 8 - 8 7.63
83 Louisiana State SEC 18 - 14 7 - 9 7.36
84 Cleveland State HOR 22 - 10 9 - 5 7.24
85 George Mason A10 24 - 9 2 - 2 7.09
86 Illinois Big10 17 - 15 7 - 12 7
87 Wagner NEC 25 - 6 12 - 3 6.93
88 Denver SUM 22 - 9 0 - 0 6.92
89 Wyoming MWC 20 - 11 5 - 7 6.92
90 Buffalo MAC 19 - 10 12 - 4 6.89
91 Pittsburgh ACC 17 - 16 0 - 4 6.77
92 Georgia SEC 15 - 17 5 - 11 6.74
93 13 Loyola MD PAT 24 - 8 2 - 0 6.54
94 Lehigh PAT 26 - 7 11 - 3 6.53
95 Bucknell PAT 24 - 9 13 - 3 6.49
96 Iowa Big10 17 - 16 8 - 10 6.35
97 Weber State BSky 24 - 6 15 - 2 6.3
98 Illinois State MVC 20 - 13 9 - 7 6.29
99 Pennsylvania IVY 19 - 12 11 - 3 6.22
100 Old Dominion CUSA 20 - 13 0 - 0 5.88
101 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 15 - 16 5 - 2 5.7
102 13 LIU Brooklyn NEC 25 - 8 13 - 1 5.6
103 UCLA PAC12 19 - 14 11 - 7 5.49
104 Loyola Marymount WCC 19 - 12 11 - 5 5.44
105 Maryland Big10 17 - 15 0 - 1 5.36
106 Oregon State PAC12 19 - 14 7 - 11 5.21
107 Texas Christian BIG12 17 - 14 1 - 0 5.08
108 Virginia Tech ACC 16 - 17 4 - 12 4.85
109 Arkansas SEC 18 - 14 6 - 10 4.78
110 Tulsa Amer 17 - 14 6 - 3 4.77
111 Butler BE 20 - 14 0 - 1 4.77
112 Valparaiso HOR 22 - 11 10 - 5 4.75
113 Duquesne A10 16 - 15 7 - 7 4.73
114 14 Detroit HOR 22 - 13 7 - 7 4.72
115 Robert Morris NEC 24 - 10 11 - 3 4.65
116 Oklahoma State BIG12 15 - 18 5 - 9 4.58
117 Kent State MAC 21 - 11 10 - 6 4.46
118 Fairfield MAAC 19 - 14 12 - 5 4.38
119 Texas Arlington SUN 24 - 8 2 - 0 4.36
120 Villanova BE 13 - 19 4 - 3 4.27
121 14 UNC Asheville BSth 24 - 9 14 - 2 4.08
122 Georgia State SUN 21 - 11 1 - 0 4
123 UC Santa Barbara BW 20 - 10 10 - 4 3.8
124 Richmond A10 16 - 16 5 - 9 3.74
125 Evansville MVC 16 - 15 8 - 8 3.72
126 Clemson ACC 16 - 15 8 - 7 3.63
127 Missouri State MVC 16 - 16 8 - 8 3.63
128 Tennessee State OVC 20 - 12 11 - 6 3.58
129 14 Lamar SLND 23 - 11 9 - 4 3.57
130 Rutgers Big10 14 - 18 0 - 0 3.51
131 San Francisco WCC 20 - 13 9 - 8 3.3
132 Indiana State MVC 18 - 14 8 - 8 3.12
133 Yale IVY 19 - 9 9 - 5 3.11
134 Texas El Paso CUSA 15 - 17 1 - 5 3.09
135 Oklahoma BIG12 15 - 16 4 - 10 2.92
136 Drake MVC 17 - 15 9 - 7 2.9
137 14 Vermont AE 23 - 11 11 - 3 2.62
138 15 Norfolk State MEAC 25 - 9 13 - 3 2.36
139 College of Charleston CAA 19 - 12 1 - 1 2.27
140 Providence BE 15 - 17 1 - 6 2.23
141 Manhattan MAAC 20 - 12 12 - 4 2.23
142 Mercer SC 22 - 11 4 - 1 2.19
143 Idaho BSky 18 - 13 2 - 2 1.97
144 Milwaukee HOR 20 - 13 8 - 6 1.95
145 Utah State MWC 17 - 15 3 - 3 1.95
146 Saint Johns BE 13 - 19 3 - 5 1.94
147 Oakland HOR 17 - 15 1 - 0 1.77
148 Nebraska Big10 12 - 18 4 - 14 1.73
149 Penn State Big10 12 - 20 4 - 14 1.39
150 Auburn SEC 15 - 16 5 - 11 1.39
151 Bowling Green MAC 16 - 15 9 - 7 1.22
152 East Carolina Amer 15 - 16 2 - 6 1.21
153 Delaware CAA 18 - 13 9 - 3 1.11
154 Texas AM SEC 14 - 18 0 - 4 1.04
155 Cal State Fullerton BW 21 - 9 10 - 4 1.03
156 Stony Brook AE 22 - 9 13 - 1 1.01
157 Quinnipiac MAAC 18 - 13 2 - 1 0.96
158 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 20 - 12 11 - 1 0.81
159 Tennessee Tech OVC 19 - 13 9 - 7 0.63
160 American PAT 20 - 11 10 - 4 0.61
161 Washington State PAC12 15 - 16 7 - 11 0.11
162 Louisiana Tech CUSA 18 - 16 0 - 1 -0.07
163 Western Illinois SUM 18 - 14 9 - 5 -0.09
164 Air Force MWC 13 - 16 3 - 9 -0.13
165 Green Bay HOR 15 - 15 7 - 7 -0.17
166 Rice CUSA 17 - 15 2 - 3 -0.37
167 South Alabama SUN 17 - 12 6 - 1 -0.47
168 Charlotte CUSA 13 - 17 0 - 0 -0.7
169 15 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 21 - 12 17 - 1 -0.78
170 Morehead State OVC 18 - 15 10 - 6 -0.83
171 15 Western Kentucky CUSA 15 - 18 3 - 4 -0.89
172 Boise State MWC 13 - 17 3 - 11 -0.9
173 Youngstown State HOR 16 - 15 8 - 6 -0.91
174 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 15 - 16 7 - 1 -1.1
175 East Tennessee State SC 17 - 14 1 - 1 -1.22
176 North Texas CUSA 18 - 14 2 - 2 -1.3
177 Houston Amer 15 - 15 4 - 5 -1.64
178 Charleston Southern BSth 19 - 12 10 - 6 -1.66
179 Georgia Tech ACC 11 - 20 3 - 11 -1.71
180 Northeastern CAA 14 - 17 7 - 5 -1.91
181 South Carolina SEC 10 - 21 2 - 14 -1.97
182 Savannah State MEAC 21 - 11 14 - 2 -1.97
183 UL Lafayette SUN 16 - 15 4 - 4 -1.97
184 Wofford SC 19 - 13 6 - 3 -1.98
185 Stephen F Austin SLND 20 - 12 9 - 1 -1.98
186 George Washington A10 10 - 21 4 - 9 -1.99
187 Columbia IVY 15 - 15 4 - 10 -2
188 North Dakota State SUM 17 - 13 5 - 8 -2.02
189 DePaul BE 12 - 19 1 - 7 -2.06
190 Wake Forest ACC 13 - 18 4 - 11 -2.18
191 Hawaii BW 16 - 16 2 - 0 -2.28
192 North Florida ASUN 16 - 16 9 - 3 -2.54
193 Holy Cross PAT 15 - 14 9 - 5 -2.57
194 Texas San Antonio CUSA 18 - 14 1 - 0 -2.62
195 Coastal Carolina BSth 19 - 11 10 - 6 -2.62
196 Portland State BSky 17 - 15 10 - 7 -2.67
197 Mcneese State SLND 17 - 15 9 - 4 -2.68
198 Cornell IVY 12 - 16 7 - 7 -2.74
199 Boston PAT 16 - 16 0 - 2 -3.01
200 Rider MAAC 13 - 19 10 - 7 -3.07
201 Siena MAAC 14 - 17 8 - 8 -3.37
202 IUPUI SUM 14 - 18 4 - 8 -3.39
203 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 15 - 17 7 - 5 -3.39
204 Austin Peay OVC 12 - 20 8 - 10 -3.39
205 San Diego WCC 13 - 18 7 - 9 -3.49
206 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 15 - 15 9 - 5 -3.75
207 Arkansas State SUN 14 - 20 4 - 4 -3.9
208 Jacksonville State OVC 15 - 18 8 - 8 -3.96
209 Southern Methodist Amer 13 - 19 3 - 6 -4.04
210 Western Michigan MAC 14 - 20 6 - 10 -4.04
211 Lafayette PAT 13 - 18 7 - 7 -4.25
212 Cal Poly BW 18 - 15 7 - 7 -4.29
213 Georgia Southern SUN 15 - 15 1 - 2 -4.43
214 Albany AE 19 - 14 9 - 5 -4.44
215 Toledo MAC 18 - 16 7 - 9 -4.49
216 Florida Atlantic CUSA 11 - 19 3 - 4 -4.54
217 Niagara MAAC 14 - 19 7 - 10 -4.58
218 Fresno State MWC 13 - 20 3 - 5 -4.79
219 Arizona State PAC12 10 - 21 6 - 12 -5.02
220 Eastern Washington BSky 15 - 17 9 - 8 -5.05
221 Wright State HOR 13 - 19 5 - 9 -5.14
222 Utah Valley WAC 20 - 12 7 - 0 -5.21
223 Western Carolina SC 17 - 18 6 - 5 -5.21
224 Southern Utah BSky 14 - 17 0 - 1 -5.25
225 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 16 - 14 1 - 3 -5.36
226 Central Connecticut State NEC 13 - 16 10 - 5 -5.36
227 Marist MAAC 14 - 18 6 - 10 -5.54
228 Rhode Island A10 7 - 24 4 - 10 -5.54
229 Lipscomb ASUN 13 - 18 6 - 6 -5.55
230 UNC Wilmington CAA 10 - 21 5 - 5 -5.7
231 Elon CAA 15 - 16 1 - 1 -5.74
232 Delaware State MEAC 15 - 14 12 - 4 -5.76
233 Northwestern State SLND 16 - 16 7 - 6 -5.78
234 Boston College ACC 9 - 22 4 - 11 -5.78
235 Presbyterian BSth 14 - 15 7 - 9 -5.81
236 Furman SC 15 - 16 6 - 4 -5.84
237 Fordham A10 10 - 19 3 - 9 -5.88
238 North Dakota BSky 17 - 14 2 - 2 -6.07
239 Campbell BSth 17 - 15 10 - 7 -6.1
240 North Carolina Central MEAC 17 - 15 10 - 6 -6.12
241 UNC Greensboro SC 13 - 19 7 - 3 -6.2
242 Hofstra CAA 10 - 22 3 - 9 -6.26
243 Monmouth MAAC 12 - 20 0 - 2 -6.32
244 Miami OH MAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -6.46
245 Sacred Heart NEC 14 - 18 6 - 9 -6.51
246 Eastern Kentucky OVC 16 - 16 7 - 9 -6.53
247 Bethune Cookman MEAC 18 - 17 11 - 5 -6.54
248 SE Missouri State OVC 15 - 16 9 - 7 -6.6
249 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 6 - 10 -6.66
250 Tulane Amer 15 - 16 2 - 7 -6.85
251 Eastern Michigan MAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 -7.05
252 Texas Tech BIG12 8 - 23 1 - 14 -7.08
253 UC Irvine BW 12 - 20 5 - 9 -7.17
254 Appalachian State SUN 13 - 18 0 - 1 -7.25
255 Seattle WAC 12 - 15 0 - 2 -7.3
256 UC Riverside BW 14 - 17 6 - 8 -7.54
257 Florida International CUSA 8 - 21 2 - 5 -7.55
258 James Madison CAA 12 - 20 5 - 6 -7.83
259 Virginia Military Institute SC 17 - 16 1 - 0 -7.92
260 Texas Southern SWAC 15 - 18 12 - 6 -7.92
261 High Point BSth 13 - 18 8 - 9 -8.09
262 Southern Illinois MVC 8 - 23 5 - 11 -8.15
263 Troy SUN 10 - 18 1 - 5 -8.16
264 Northern Colorado BSky 9 - 19 5 - 11 -8.16
265 Portland WCC 7 - 24 3 - 13 -8.3
266 Southern California PAC12 6 - 26 1 - 17 -8.41
267 Samford SC 11 - 19 3 - 7 -8.43
268 Jacksonville ASUN 8 - 22 4 - 8 -8.58
269 Bradley MVC 7 - 25 2 - 15 -9.27
270 Liberty BSth 14 - 18 8 - 8 -9.35
271 Pepperdine WCC 10 - 19 4 - 12 -9.38
272 Coppin State MEAC 14 - 16 9 - 7 -9.44
273 South Dakota SUM 10 - 18 4 - 9 -9.45
274 UMKC WAC 10 - 21 0 - 1 -9.63
275 Sam Houston State SLND 13 - 19 5 - 5 -9.65
276 Central Michigan MAC 11 - 21 5 - 11 -9.73
277 15 Stetson ASUN 9 - 20 5 - 7 -9.8
278 Winthrop BSth 12 - 20 7 - 9 -9.89
279 IPFW SUM 11 - 19 5 - 9 -9.9
280 Utah PAC12 6 - 25 3 - 15 -9.98
281 San Jose State MWC 9 - 22 1 - 5 -10.01
282 16 Texas State SUN 13 - 17 0 - 2 -10.04
283 Pacific WCC 11 - 19 0 - 2 -10.06
284 Montana State BSky 12 - 17 7 - 10 -10.26
285 Morgan State MEAC 9 - 20 6 - 10 -10.48
286 New Hampshire AE 13 - 16 6 - 8 -10.55
287 Southern SWAC 17 - 14 13 - 5 -10.71
288 Maine AE 12 - 17 6 - 8 -10.82
289 Santa Clara WCC 8 - 22 1 - 16 -10.97
290 Eastern Illinois OVC 12 - 17 5 - 11 -11.06
291 Mt St Marys NEC 8 - 21 6 - 9 -11.18
292 NJ Tech Ind 15 - 17 4 - 0 -11.19
293 Army PAT 12 - 18 5 - 9 -11.44
294 Idaho State BSky 9 - 21 8 - 10 -11.5
295 SIU Edwardsville OVC 10 - 17 6 - 10 -11.59
296 Illinois Chicago HOR 8 - 22 2 - 12 -11.88
297 North Carolina AT MEAC 12 - 20 7 - 9 -12.04
298 Howard MEAC 10 - 21 6 - 10 -12.07
299 Gardner Webb BSth 12 - 20 5 - 11 -12.25
300 Chattanooga SC 11 - 21 3 - 7 -12.4
301 Hampton MEAC 12 - 21 6 - 10 -12.41
302 Sacramento State BSky 10 - 18 6 - 11 -12.56
303 Loyola Ill MVC 7 - 23 1 - 0 -12.65
304 Prairie View SWAC 14 - 18 10 - 8 -12.68
305 William and Mary CAA 6 - 26 4 - 7 -12.71
306 Hartford AE 9 - 22 7 - 7 -12.91
307 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 11 - 22 9 - 9 -12.93
308 Nicholls State SLND 10 - 20 6 - 8 -12.94
309 Southeast Louisiana SLND 12 - 17 5 - 8 -13.36
310 Brown IVY 8 - 23 2 - 12 -13.75
311 Colgate PAT 8 - 22 2 - 12 -13.96
312 Alabama State SWAC 12 - 19 9 - 9 -14.22
313 Saint Peters MAAC 5 - 26 4 - 12 -14.24
314 Saint Francis Penn NEC 6 - 23 3 - 11 -14.31
315 Florida AM MEAC 10 - 23 6 - 10 -14.32
316 Texas Pan American WAC 11 - 21 3 - 3 -14.62
317 Texas AM CC SLND 6 - 24 2 - 8 -15.02
318 Cal State Northridge BW 7 - 21 3 - 12 -15.06
319 UL Monroe SUN 3 - 26 1 - 7 -15.43
320 Houston Baptist SLND 10 - 20 0 - 1 -15.51
321 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 25 1 - 13 -15.83
322 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 7 - 23 4 - 12 -15.84
323 The Citadel SC 6 - 24 2 - 8 -16.45
324 Central Arkansas SLND 8 - 21 3 - 10 -16.59
325 Jackson State SWAC 7 - 24 5 - 13 -16.66
326 Towson CAA 1 - 31 1 - 10 -16.82
327 Canisius MAAC 5 - 25 1 - 15 -17.31
328 Radford BSth 6 - 26 2 - 14 -17.55
329 UC Davis BW 5 - 26 2 - 13 -18.15
330 Northern Illinois MAC 5 - 26 3 - 13 -18.15
331 New Orleans SLND 1 - 7 0 - 0 -18.5
332 Tennessee Martin OVC 4 - 27 0 - 16 -18.5
333 Alcorn State SWAC 10 - 22 6 - 12 -18.5
334 Longwood BSth 10 - 21 0 - 0 -18.53
335 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 3 - 26 2 - 13 -18.61
336 Navy PAT 3 - 26 0 - 14 -18.76
337 Kennesaw St ASUN 3 - 28 0 - 12 -18.98
338 Northern Arizona BSky 5 - 24 1 - 15 -19.37
339 Chicago State WAC 4 - 26 0 - 4 -19.67
340 Omaha SUM 11 - 18 0 - 6 -19.85
341 Alabama AM SWAC 7 - 21 5 - 13 -20.48
342 Bryant NEC 2 - 28 1 - 14 -20.63
343 UMBC AE 4 - 26 3 - 11 -20.92
344 Grambling State SWAC 4 - 24 4 - 14 -22.7
345 Binghamton AE 2 - 29 1 - 13 -22.83
346 South Carolina State MEAC 5 - 26 0 - 16 -23.15