Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
Bracketology
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PREVIOUS YEAR BRACKET PROJECTIONS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records may be wrong in years before 2015 they were generated using conference standings in the 2014-15 season. This will affect the auto-qualifiers as well.
2023 Final Projection
2022 Final Projection
2021 Final Projection
2020 Final Projection
2019 Final Projection
2018 Final Projection
2017 Final Projection
2016 Final Projection
2015 Final Projection
2014 Final Projection
2013 Final Projection
2012 Final Projection
2011 Final Projection
2010 Final Projection

AUTOMATIC SYSTEM BRACKETOLOGY

FINAL 2010 BRACKET PROJECTION

Rank Seed Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 1 Kansas BIG12 32 - 2 8 - 1 28.55
2 1 Duke ACC 29 - 5 12 - 2 24.11
3 1 Syracuse ACC 28 - 4 2 - 3 23.9
4 1 Kentucky SEC 32 - 2 14 - 2 23.83
5 2 West Virginia BIG12 27 - 6 0 - 0 23.68
6 2 Kansas State BIG12 26 - 7 5 - 4 21.98
7 2 Georgetown BE 23 - 10 6 - 2 20.72
8 2 Temple Amer 29 - 5 0 - 0 20.11
9 3 Baylor BIG12 25 - 7 8 - 3 19.96
10 3 Villanova BE 24 - 7 7 - 1 19.37
11 3 Purdue Big10 27 - 5 14 - 4 19.28
12 3 Pittsburgh ACC 24 - 8 2 - 1 19.07
13 4 New Mexico MWC 29 - 4 8 - 2 18.81
14 4 Ohio State Big10 27 - 7 14 - 4 18.61
15 4 Wisconsin Big10 23 - 8 14 - 5 18.07
16 4 Maryland Big10 23 - 8 1 - 1 18.01
17 5 Texas AM SEC 23 - 9 1 - 0 17.82
18 5 Butler BE 28 - 4 1 - 1 17.81
19 5 Brigham Young WCC 29 - 5 1 - 0 17.58
20 5 Northern Iowa MVC 28 - 4 13 - 3 17.16
21 6 Tennessee SEC 25 - 8 11 - 5 17.14
22 6 Xavier BE 24 - 8 1 - 2 16.75
23 6 Vanderbilt SEC 24 - 8 13 - 4 16.48
24 6 Richmond A10 26 - 8 11 - 2 16.37
25 7 San Diego State MWC 25 - 8 8 - 3 15.76
26 7 Texas BIG12 24 - 9 6 - 5 15.75
27 7 Michigan State Big10 24 - 8 14 - 4 15.69
28 7 Clemson ACC 21 - 10 8 - 6 15.3
29 8 Utah State MWC 27 - 7 8 - 0 15.28
30 8 Saint Marys WCC 26 - 5 12 - 3 15.25
31 8 California PAC12 23 - 10 13 - 5 15.23
32 8 Texas El Paso CUSA 26 - 6 6 - 0 15.19
33 9 Notre Dame ACC 23 - 11 1 - 2 15.12
34 9 Marquette BE 22 - 11 7 - 3 14.78
35 9 Gonzaga WCC 26 - 6 12 - 2 14.73
36 9 Oklahoma State BIG12 22 - 10 6 - 5 14.64
37 10 Washington PAC12 24 - 9 11 - 7 14.56
38 10 Louisville ACC 20 - 12 3 - 1 14.55
39 10 Florida State ACC 22 - 9 10 - 4 14.5
40 10 Georgia Tech ACC 22 - 12 7 - 8 14.31
41 11 Old Dominion CUSA 26 - 8 2 - 0 14.3
42 11 Missouri SEC 22 - 10 1 - 2 14.06
43 11 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 25 - 8 9 - 2 13.93
44 11 Wake Forest ACC 19 - 10 8 - 7 13.77
45 11 Minnesota Big10 21 - 13 9 - 9 12.75
46 12 Siena MAAC 27 - 6 15 - 1 12.57
47 12 Virginia Tech ACC 23 - 8 10 - 5 12.53
48 12 Memphis Amer 23 - 9 7 - 2 11.77
49 Seton Hall BE 19 - 12 3 - 3 11.74
50 Rhode Island A10 23 - 9 9 - 5 11.69
51 Mississippi State SEC 23 - 11 9 - 7 11.63
52 Florida SEC 21 - 12 9 - 7 11.51
53 Dayton A10 20 - 12 7 - 6 11.27
54 Connecticut Amer 17 - 15 1 - 3 11.21
55 Mississippi SEC 21 - 10 9 - 7 11.2
56 12 Cornell IVY 27 - 4 13 - 1 11.07
57 Arizona State PAC12 22 - 10 12 - 6 11.03
58 Kent State MAC 23 - 9 13 - 3 11.01
59 Wichita State MVC 25 - 9 11 - 5 10.86
60 Cincinnati Amer 18 - 15 3 - 1 10.83
61 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 23 - 8 5 - 3 10.6
62 Illinois Big10 19 - 14 10 - 8 10.55
63 South Florida Amer 20 - 12 4 - 1 10.37
64 Virginia Commonwealth A10 22 - 9 2 - 1 10.32
65 12 New Mexico State WAC 22 - 11 0 - 0 10.27
66 13 Murray State OVC 30 - 4 19 - 1 10.19
67 William and Mary CAA 22 - 10 9 - 3 9.59
68 Saint Johns BE 17 - 15 2 - 5 9.47
69 NC State ACC 19 - 15 5 - 9 9.45
70 Marshall CUSA 23 - 9 4 - 3 9.25
71 Northeastern CAA 20 - 12 7 - 4 9.14
72 13 Wofford SC 26 - 8 8 - 1 8.46
73 Tulsa Amer 23 - 11 7 - 2 8.28
74 North Carolina ACC 16 - 16 5 - 11 8.25
75 Illinois State MVC 22 - 10 9 - 7 8.24
76 13 Oakland HOR 26 - 8 1 - 0 8.21
77 Miami ACC 20 - 13 4 - 11 8.01
78 Saint Louis A10 20 - 11 11 - 2 7.88
79 Nevada MWC 20 - 12 5 - 4 7.88
80 Texas Tech BIG12 17 - 15 5 - 7 7.86
81 Portland WCC 21 - 10 10 - 4 7.77
82 Charlotte CUSA 19 - 12 0 - 1 7.72
83 Southern California PAC12 16 - 14 8 - 10 7.42
84 Alabama SEC 17 - 15 6 - 10 7.06
85 Arizona PAC12 16 - 15 11 - 8 6.9
86 13 Sam Houston State SLND 25 - 7 10 - 0 6.74
87 14 Ohio MAC 21 - 14 7 - 9 6.55
88 South Carolina SEC 15 - 16 6 - 10 6.45
89 Houston Amer 19 - 15 3 - 6 6.45
90 Louisiana Tech CUSA 23 - 10 0 - 0 6.41
91 Akron MAC 24 - 10 12 - 4 6.36
92 Northwestern Big10 20 - 13 7 - 11 6.2
93 Wright State HOR 20 - 12 11 - 3 5.9
94 Morehead State OVC 23 - 10 16 - 3 5.89
95 Iona MAAC 21 - 10 10 - 6 5.68
96 IUPUI SUM 24 - 10 8 - 2 5.58
97 Georgia SEC 14 - 17 5 - 12 5.57
98 Missouri State MVC 20 - 12 7 - 9 5.56
99 Bradley MVC 16 - 15 9 - 8 5.55
100 Fairfield MAAC 22 - 10 11 - 5 5.32
101 Virginia ACC 15 - 16 5 - 9 5.26
102 Boston College ACC 15 - 16 6 - 9 5.19
103 Iowa State BIG12 15 - 17 1 - 8 5.16
104 14 Montana BSky 22 - 9 11 - 6 5.06
105 Weber State BSky 20 - 10 14 - 3 4.86
106 Michigan Big10 15 - 17 7 - 11 4.8
107 Appalachian State SUN 22 - 12 1 - 1 4.75
108 Harvard IVY 21 - 7 10 - 4 4.72
109 Creighton BE 16 - 15 0 - 1 4.34
110 14 UC Santa Barbara BW 20 - 9 10 - 4 4.27
111 Colorado PAC12 15 - 16 0 - 2 4.26
112 Green Bay HOR 21 - 12 9 - 6 4.15
113 Indiana State MVC 17 - 14 8 - 8 4.09
114 Southern Miss CUSA 20 - 13 1 - 5 3.92
115 UCLA PAC12 14 - 18 8 - 10 3.92
116 Oral Roberts SUM 20 - 13 7 - 3 3.88
117 Oklahoma BIG12 13 - 18 3 - 8 3.65
118 North Texas CUSA 24 - 8 4 - 2 3.63
119 College of Charleston CAA 21 - 11 1 - 0 3.6
120 Pacific WCC 20 - 11 3 - 2 3.56
121 Nebraska Big10 15 - 18 0 - 0 3.46
122 Northern Colorado BSky 24 - 7 14 - 4 3.46
123 Oregon PAC12 16 - 16 7 - 11 3.42
124 Western Kentucky CUSA 21 - 13 4 - 3 3.42
125 Buffalo MAC 18 - 12 9 - 7 3.38
126 14 Vermont AE 25 - 9 10 - 4 3.3
127 Coastal Carolina BSth 28 - 6 13 - 3 3.2
128 15 Morgan State MEAC 27 - 9 15 - 1 3.15
129 Providence BE 12 - 19 2 - 5 3.14
130 Hofstra CAA 19 - 14 10 - 4 3.06
131 Duquesne A10 16 - 15 6 - 7 3.04
132 Utah PAC12 14 - 17 0 - 0 3.03
133 Princeton IVY 20 - 8 11 - 3 3.01
134 Niagara MAAC 18 - 15 7 - 9 2.98
135 Auburn SEC 15 - 17 6 - 10 2.74
136 Western Carolina SC 22 - 11 7 - 2 2.58
137 Rutgers Big10 15 - 17 0 - 0 2.46
138 Miami OH MAC 14 - 18 9 - 7 2.46
139 Arkansas SEC 14 - 18 7 - 9 2.3
140 Stanford PAC12 14 - 18 7 - 11 2.18
141 Milwaukee HOR 20 - 14 9 - 5 2.16
142 Boston PAT 19 - 13 1 - 0 2.1
143 Long Beach State BW 17 - 16 8 - 6 2.08
144 Saint Bonaventure A10 15 - 16 7 - 6 1.93
145 Colorado State MWC 16 - 15 4 - 7 1.92
146 Troy SUN 20 - 12 5 - 3 1.9
147 Loyola Marymount WCC 18 - 15 7 - 7 1.85
148 Western Michigan MAC 18 - 15 8 - 8 1.77
149 15 Robert Morris NEC 23 - 11 13 - 2 1.76
150 East Tennessee State SC 20 - 14 0 - 3 1.69
151 George Washington A10 16 - 14 6 - 7 1.66
152 Oregon State PAC12 14 - 17 9 - 10 1.44
153 George Mason A10 17 - 14 1 - 2 1.37
154 Belmont OVC 19 - 12 2 - 1 1.32
155 Southern Illinois MVC 15 - 15 6 - 10 1.1
156 Stephen F Austin SLND 23 - 9 9 - 4 0.98
157 Detroit HOR 20 - 14 7 - 7 0.95
158 Drexel CAA 16 - 16 8 - 5 0.92
159 Stony Brook AE 22 - 9 11 - 3 0.92
160 Washington State PAC12 16 - 15 6 - 12 0.83
161 Jacksonville ASUN 19 - 12 11 - 1 0.74
162 Rider MAAC 17 - 16 10 - 7 0.67
163 Quinnipiac MAAC 23 - 9 1 - 1 0.62
164 15 Lehigh PAT 22 - 10 10 - 4 0.42
165 Cleveland State HOR 16 - 17 8 - 6 0.25
166 Drake MVC 14 - 19 6 - 10 0.24
167 Eastern Kentucky OVC 20 - 12 11 - 7 0.18
168 Massachusetts A10 12 - 20 5 - 9 0.03
169 Penn State Big10 11 - 20 3 - 15 0
170 Eastern Illinois OVC 19 - 12 12 - 8 -0.16
171 Middle Tennessee CUSA 19 - 13 5 - 4 -0.26
172 Davidson A10 16 - 15 1 - 2 -0.4
173 Idaho BSky 15 - 16 2 - 0 -0.4
174 Austin Peay OVC 17 - 15 11 - 7 -0.42
175 Saint Peters MAAC 16 - 14 10 - 7 -0.49
176 Maine AE 19 - 11 10 - 4 -0.7
177 Saint Josephs A10 11 - 20 5 - 7 -0.94
178 15 Winthrop BSth 19 - 13 10 - 6 -0.96
179 Campbell BSth 19 - 11 1 - 1 -1.09
180 Radford BSth 19 - 12 11 - 5 -1.22
181 Southern Methodist Amer 14 - 17 5 - 5 -1.23
182 16 La Salle A10 12 - 18 5 - 8 -1.24
183 Denver SUM 19 - 13 1 - 0 -1.36
184 Central Florida Amer 15 - 17 4 - 7 -1.41
185 Fresno State MWC 15 - 18 4 - 6 -1.47
186 Bowling Green MAC 14 - 16 6 - 10 -1.5
187 Seattle WAC 17 - 14 3 - 0 -1.5
188 Texas AM CC SLND 17 - 15 6 - 4 -1.65
189 San Jose State MWC 14 - 17 2 - 6 -1.71
190 Boise State MWC 15 - 17 2 - 7 -1.75
191 Mt St Marys NEC 16 - 15 10 - 5 -1.84
192 Valparaiso HOR 15 - 17 8 - 6 -1.85
193 Lipscomb ASUN 17 - 13 8 - 4 -1.87
194 Texas San Antonio CUSA 19 - 11 0 - 0 -1.96
195 DePaul BE 8 - 23 1 - 7 -1.97
196 Texas Christian BIG12 13 - 19 0 - 1 -1.98
197 Eastern Michigan MAC 17 - 15 8 - 8 -2.06
198 Central Michigan MAC 15 - 15 9 - 7 -2.12
199 The Citadel SC 16 - 16 5 - 5 -2.33
200 Indiana Big10 10 - 21 4 - 15 -2.4
201 San Francisco WCC 12 - 18 7 - 8 -2.56
202 Arkansas State SUN 17 - 14 4 - 3 -2.91
203 Iowa Big10 10 - 22 4 - 14 -2.95
204 Ball State MAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -3.06
205 Canisius MAAC 15 - 17 6 - 10 -3.09
206 Southeast Louisiana SLND 19 - 12 9 - 4 -3.11
207 Cal State Fullerton BW 16 - 15 8 - 6 -3.17
208 16 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 17 - 15 14 - 4 -3.27
209 Montana State BSky 15 - 14 10 - 6 -3.3
210 16 South Dakota SUM 22 - 9 0 - 0 -3.35
211 Jackson State SWAC 19 - 12 17 - 1 -4.21
212 Northern Arizona BSky 14 - 14 8 - 8 -4.33
213 IPFW SUM 16 - 15 6 - 4 -4.41
214 Tennessee Tech OVC 15 - 17 8 - 10 -4.43
215 Louisiana State SEC 11 - 20 2 - 14 -4.47
216 Mercer SC 16 - 17 2 - 0 -4.51
217 Portland State BSky 13 - 19 7 - 9 -4.83
218 South Alabama SUN 17 - 15 4 - 3 -4.87
219 Loyola Ill MVC 14 - 16 1 - 0 -4.88
220 Loyola MD PAT 13 - 17 1 - 0 -4.97
221 Florida Atlantic CUSA 14 - 16 3 - 4 -5.02
222 Lafayette PAT 19 - 13 8 - 6 -5.1
223 San Diego WCC 11 - 21 3 - 12 -5.17
224 Manhattan MAAC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -5.39
225 Evansville MVC 9 - 21 3 - 13 -5.44
226 Delaware State MEAC 17 - 12 11 - 6 -5.49
227 South Dakota State SUM 14 - 16 4 - 7 -5.8
228 James Madison CAA 13 - 20 3 - 7 -5.93
229 Texas State SUN 15 - 16 1 - 1 -6.1
230 UNC Asheville BSth 15 - 16 9 - 8 -6.1
231 South Carolina State MEAC 18 - 14 11 - 6 -6.24
232 UNC Wilmington CAA 9 - 22 5 - 7 -6.39
233 UL Lafayette SUN 13 - 17 5 - 3 -6.4
234 Santa Clara WCC 11 - 21 4 - 12 -6.54
235 Texas Arlington SUN 16 - 14 1 - 1 -6.55
236 Wyoming MWC 10 - 21 3 - 8 -6.62
237 UC Davis BW 14 - 18 7 - 7 -6.64
238 Georgia State SUN 12 - 20 1 - 1 -6.7
239 Air Force MWC 10 - 21 1 - 9 -6.73
240 Chattanooga SC 15 - 18 4 - 7 -6.9
241 Texas Southern SWAC 17 - 16 11 - 7 -6.94
242 East Carolina Amer 10 - 21 3 - 5 -7.16
243 New Hampshire AE 13 - 17 6 - 8 -7.34
244 Delaware CAA 7 - 24 2 - 10 -7.6
245 North Florida ASUN 13 - 18 7 - 5 -7.63
246 UC Riverside BW 12 - 17 4 - 10 -7.72
247 Hawaii BW 10 - 20 0 - 2 -7.79
248 Binghamton AE 13 - 18 8 - 6 -7.81
249 Liberty BSth 15 - 16 8 - 8 -7.82
250 Towson CAA 10 - 21 5 - 7 -7.83
251 Cal State Northridge BW 11 - 21 6 - 8 -8.01
252 Bucknell PAT 14 - 17 9 - 7 -8.02
253 UNC Greensboro SC 8 - 23 4 - 7 -8.05
254 Cal Poly BW 12 - 19 8 - 7 -8.12
255 LIU Brooklyn NEC 14 - 17 10 - 6 -8.28
256 Furman SC 13 - 17 4 - 5 -8.29
257 Hampton MEAC 14 - 18 8 - 8 -8.43
258 Army PAT 14 - 15 4 - 10 -8.49
259 Northern Illinois MAC 10 - 20 6 - 10 -8.81
260 UC Irvine BW 14 - 18 7 - 8 -8.87
261 North Dakota State SUM 11 - 18 4 - 6 -8.87
262 Tulane Amer 8 - 22 1 - 6 -8.91
263 Western Illinois SUM 13 - 17 1 - 9 -9.07
264 Tennessee State OVC 9 - 23 6 - 13 -9.35
265 Samford SC 11 - 20 3 - 7 -9.39
266 Navy PAT 13 - 17 7 - 7 -9.4
267 High Point BSth 15 - 15 10 - 7 -9.5
268 Elon CAA 9 - 23 0 - 3 -9.57
269 Bethune Cookman MEAC 17 - 16 7 - 9 -9.57
270 Brown IVY 11 - 20 5 - 9 -9.62
271 Norfolk State MEAC 11 - 19 9 - 7 -9.64
272 Alabama State SWAC 16 - 15 12 - 6 -9.65
273 Columbia IVY 11 - 17 5 - 9 -9.79
274 Nicholls State SLND 11 - 19 5 - 8 -9.83
275 Yale IVY 12 - 19 6 - 8 -9.83
276 UL Monroe SUN 12 - 19 3 - 5 -9.84
277 Sacred Heart NEC 14 - 15 5 - 9 -9.87
278 Youngstown State HOR 8 - 22 1 - 13 -10.09
279 Illinois Chicago HOR 8 - 22 3 - 11 -10.22
280 Holy Cross PAT 9 - 22 5 - 9 -10.23
281 Prairie View SWAC 16 - 14 11 - 7 -10.51
282 Eastern Washington BSky 9 - 21 5 - 12 -10.54
283 Kennesaw St ASUN 13 - 20 5 - 7 -10.6
284 UMKC WAC 12 - 18 0 - 0 -10.74
285 American PAT 11 - 20 7 - 7 -10.75
286 Charleston Southern BSth 14 - 17 6 - 10 -10.84
287 Colgate PAT 10 - 19 6 - 8 -10.91
288 Lamar SLND 14 - 18 3 - 7 -10.98
289 Georgia Southern SUN 9 - 23 2 - 2 -11.37
290 Jacksonville State OVC 11 - 19 7 - 11 -11.39
291 Longwood BSth 12 - 19 2 - 0 -11.6
292 Monmouth MAAC 12 - 19 1 - 3 -11.65
293 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 11 - 21 8 - 6 -11.66
294 Saint Francis Penn NEC 11 - 19 8 - 7 -12.1
295 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 11 - 18 8 - 8 -12.17
296 Pennsylvania IVY 6 - 22 5 - 9 -12.28
297 Pepperdine WCC 7 - 24 3 - 12 -12.4
298 Rice CUSA 8 - 23 0 - 5 -12.67
299 Winston Salem Ind 12 - 17 4 - 0 -12.74
300 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 8 - 22 2 - 6 -12.92
301 North Carolina AT MEAC 11 - 22 6 - 10 -12.96
302 Central Connecticut State NEC 12 - 18 8 - 6 -12.96
303 16 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 6 - 23 6 - 6 -13
304 Sacramento State BSky 9 - 21 3 - 14 -13.04
305 Florida International CUSA 7 - 25 2 - 6 -13.27
306 Idaho State BSky 7 - 22 4 - 12 -13.35
307 Mcneese State SLND 10 - 20 5 - 8 -13.46
308 Hartford AE 8 - 22 6 - 8 -13.78
309 Savannah State MEAC 11 - 15 1 - 1 -13.83
310 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 7 - 22 1 - 2 -13.95
311 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 8 - 21 2 - 10 -14.05
312 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 11 - 21 8 - 9 -14.13
313 Northwestern State SLND 10 - 19 6 - 8 -14.22
314 Albany AE 7 - 25 2 - 12 -14.27
315 Centenary Ind 8 - 21 2 - 0 -14.35
316 Fordham A10 2 - 26 0 - 12 -14.38
317 SE Missouri State OVC 7 - 23 4 - 15 -14.54
318 Virginia Military Institute SC 10 - 19 0 - 0 -14.54
319 Central Arkansas SLND 9 - 21 2 - 11 -14.86
320 Stetson ASUN 7 - 22 3 - 9 -15.49
321 Florida AM MEAC 9 - 22 5 - 11 -15.71
322 Houston Baptist SLND 12 - 21 0 - 2 -15.77
323 Gardner Webb BSth 8 - 21 4 - 12 -15.91
324 Southern Utah BSky 7 - 22 0 - 2 -15.95
325 New Orleans SLND 8 - 22 1 - 0 -16.17
326 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 9 - 23 8 - 10 -16.28
327 Alabama AM SWAC 11 - 16 8 - 10 -16.29
328 Toledo MAC 4 - 28 1 - 15 -16.97
329 SIU Edwardsville OVC 5 - 23 0 - 5 -17.52
330 Presbyterian BSth 5 - 26 1 - 15 -17.65
331 UMBC AE 4 - 26 3 - 11 -17.93
332 Howard MEAC 7 - 25 6 - 10 -17.97
333 Wagner NEC 5 - 26 3 - 12 -18.15
334 Texas Pan American WAC 6 - 27 2 - 2 -18.39
335 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 23 1 - 13 -18.8
336 Utah Valley WAC 12 - 18 3 - 5 -18.81
337 Coppin State MEAC 8 - 22 3 - 13 -18.91
338 Marist MAAC 1 - 29 1 - 15 -19.19
339 Grambling State SWAC 7 - 21 4 - 14 -19.53
340 Tennessee Martin OVC 4 - 25 2 - 17 -19.58
341 NJ Tech Ind 10 - 21 3 - 0 -19.98
342 North Dakota BSky 8 - 23 0 - 2 -20.29
343 North Carolina Central MEAC 7 - 22 2 - 1 -20.72
344 Chicago State WAC 9 - 23 2 - 2 -21.07
345 Southern SWAC 5 - 25 3 - 15 -22.25
346 Alcorn State SWAC 2 - 29 2 - 16 -24.43
347 Bryant NEC 1 - 29 1 - 13 -24.98