Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
Bracketology
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PREVIOUS YEAR BRACKET PROJECTIONS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records may be wrong in years before 2015 they were generated using conference standings in the 2014-15 season. This will affect the auto-qualifiers as well.
2023 Final Projection
2022 Final Projection
2021 Final Projection
2020 Final Projection
2019 Final Projection
2018 Final Projection
2017 Final Projection
2016 Final Projection
2015 Final Projection
2014 Final Projection
2013 Final Projection
2012 Final Projection
2011 Final Projection
2010 Final Projection

AUTOMATIC SYSTEM BRACKETOLOGY

FINAL 2011 BRACKET PROJECTION

Rank Seed Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 1 Kansas BIG12 32 - 2 7 - 2 26
2 1 Ohio State Big10 32 - 2 16 - 2 25.92
3 1 Duke ACC 30 - 4 11 - 3 24.35
4 1 San Diego State MWC 32 - 2 10 - 0 23.39
5 2 Brigham Young WCC 30 - 4 1 - 0 22.51
6 2 Notre Dame ACC 26 - 6 2 - 1 22.19
7 2 Pittsburgh ACC 27 - 5 1 - 2 21.95
8 2 Texas BIG12 27 - 7 10 - 1 21.63
9 3 Kentucky SEC 25 - 8 10 - 6 21.43
10 3 Florida SEC 26 - 7 13 - 3 20.98
11 3 Connecticut Amer 26 - 9 2 - 0 20.7
12 3 Purdue Big10 25 - 7 14 - 4 20.13
13 4 Syracuse ACC 26 - 7 3 - 2 19.89
14 4 North Carolina ACC 26 - 7 13 - 2 19.83
15 4 Louisville ACC 25 - 9 2 - 1 19.58
16 4 Wisconsin Big10 23 - 8 13 - 5 18.16
17 5 Georgetown BE 21 - 10 6 - 1 18.15
18 5 West Virginia BIG12 20 - 11 0 - 0 17.76
19 5 Saint Johns BE 21 - 11 5 - 2 16.59
20 5 Old Dominion CUSA 27 - 6 0 - 0 16.56
21 6 Utah State MWC 30 - 3 8 - 0 16.23
22 6 Kansas State BIG12 22 - 10 7 - 2 15.9
23 6 Xavier BE 24 - 7 2 - 0 15.77
24 6 Arizona PAC12 27 - 7 14 - 4 15.62
25 7 George Mason A10 26 - 6 3 - 1 15.51
26 7 Cincinnati Amer 25 - 8 1 - 1 15.47
27 7 Nevada Las Vegas MWC 24 - 8 9 - 3 15.44
28 7 Vanderbilt SEC 23 - 10 9 - 8 15.12
29 8 Texas AM SEC 24 - 8 2 - 0 15.02
30 8 Washington PAC12 23 - 10 11 - 7 14.46
31 8 Temple Amer 25 - 7 0 - 0 14.26
32 8 Richmond A10 27 - 7 12 - 1 13.91
33 9 Penn State Big10 19 - 14 9 - 10 13.55
34 9 Tennessee SEC 19 - 14 8 - 8 13.46
35 9 Villanova BE 21 - 11 3 - 3 13.36
36 9 Michigan Big10 20 - 13 9 - 9 13.1
37 10 Missouri SEC 23 - 10 1 - 1 12.97
38 10 Butler BE 23 - 9 0 - 1 12.95
39 10 Gonzaga WCC 24 - 9 11 - 3 12.81
40 10 Michigan State Big10 19 - 14 9 - 9 12.75
41 11 Marquette BE 20 - 14 3 - 4 12.54
42 11 Illinois Big10 19 - 13 10 - 9 12.5
43 11 Memphis Amer 25 - 9 5 - 3 12.46
44 11 UCLA PAC12 22 - 10 13 - 5 12.29
45 11 Alabama Birmingham CUSA 22 - 8 6 - 1 12.26
46 12 Virginia Tech ACC 21 - 11 7 - 7 11.91
47 12 Colorado PAC12 21 - 13 1 - 0 11.53
48 Georgia SEC 21 - 11 9 - 7 11.48
49 Clemson ACC 21 - 11 9 - 6 11.23
50 Florida State ACC 21 - 10 11 - 4 11.19
51 12 Belmont OVC 30 - 4 1 - 0 11.1
52 Saint Marys WCC 25 - 8 11 - 4 11.06
53 12 Princeton IVY 25 - 6 12 - 2 11
54 Harvard IVY 23 - 6 12 - 2 10.81
55 Southern California PAC12 19 - 14 10 - 8 10.73
56 Texas El Paso CUSA 25 - 9 3 - 2 10.62
57 New Mexico MWC 21 - 12 4 - 6 10.46
58 Marshall CUSA 22 - 11 3 - 4 10.46
59 Boston College ACC 20 - 12 7 - 7 10.31
60 Alabama SEC 21 - 11 12 - 4 10.26
61 Virginia Commonwealth A10 23 - 11 0 - 2 10
62 Missouri State MVC 25 - 8 13 - 3 9.88
63 12 Oakland HOR 25 - 9 0 - 2 9.75
64 Cleveland State HOR 26 - 8 11 - 3 9.73
65 Southern Miss CUSA 22 - 10 4 - 2 9.66
66 Oklahoma State BIG12 19 - 13 5 - 6 9.63
67 Wichita State MVC 24 - 8 12 - 4 9.56
68 Colorado State MWC 19 - 12 6 - 5 9.53
69 California PAC12 17 - 14 10 - 8 9.17
70 Nebraska Big10 19 - 12 0 - 0 9.09
71 Washington State PAC12 19 - 12 9 - 9 8.95
72 Iona MAAC 22 - 11 12 - 4 8.89
73 Minnesota Big10 17 - 14 6 - 12 8.85
74 Tulsa Amer 19 - 13 6 - 3 8.71
75 Miami ACC 19 - 14 5 - 10 8.62
76 Drexel CAA 21 - 10 8 - 5 8.33
77 Central Florida Amer 19 - 11 4 - 5 8.32
78 Maryland Big10 19 - 14 1 - 1 8.16
79 Valparaiso HOR 23 - 11 11 - 4 8.01
80 13 Bucknell PAT 25 - 8 15 - 1 8.01
81 Dayton A10 22 - 13 7 - 6 8
82 Northwestern Big10 18 - 13 7 - 11 7.96
83 Mississippi SEC 20 - 13 7 - 9 7.92
84 13 LIU Brooklyn NEC 27 - 5 14 - 2 7.75
85 College of Charleston CAA 24 - 10 1 - 0 7.48
86 Seton Hall BE 13 - 18 4 - 4 7.28
87 James Madison CAA 21 - 11 8 - 2 7
88 13 Indiana State MVC 20 - 13 11 - 6 6.91
89 Baylor BIG12 18 - 13 3 - 8 6.79
90 Hofstra CAA 21 - 11 12 - 1 6.58
91 Fairfield MAAC 24 - 7 14 - 2 6.53
92 Morehead State OVC 24 - 9 14 - 5 6.34
93 Milwaukee HOR 19 - 13 10 - 4 6.32
94 East Carolina Amer 18 - 15 5 - 3 6.11
95 13 Wofford SC 21 - 12 9 - 1 6.06
96 Rider MAAC 23 - 10 12 - 5 5.88
97 Duquesne A10 18 - 12 8 - 6 5.78
98 Mississippi State SEC 17 - 14 9 - 7 5.62
99 Coastal Carolina BSth 28 - 5 14 - 2 5.62
100 Kent State MAC 23 - 11 12 - 4 5.4
101 Arkansas SEC 18 - 13 7 - 10 5.39
102 Long Beach State BW 22 - 11 12 - 2 5.35
103 Rhode Island A10 19 - 13 9 - 5 4.9
104 Portland WCC 20 - 11 7 - 7 4.87
105 14 Saint Peters MAAC 20 - 13 10 - 6 4.84
106 East Tennessee State SC 22 - 11 2 - 0 4.74
107 Rutgers Big10 15 - 17 0 - 0 4.55
108 14 Akron MAC 23 - 12 9 - 7 4.47
109 Northern Iowa MVC 19 - 13 9 - 7 4.36
110 NC State ACC 15 - 16 5 - 11 4.28
111 Murray State OVC 23 - 8 16 - 4 4.27
112 Vermont AE 23 - 8 13 - 1 4.16
113 Oregon PAC12 16 - 17 7 - 11 4.12
114 Boise State MWC 20 - 12 5 - 4 3.87
115 Virginia ACC 16 - 15 6 - 8 3.75
116 14 Northern Colorado BSky 21 - 10 14 - 3 3.71
117 Air Force MWC 15 - 15 2 - 8 3.5
118 Wright State HOR 19 - 14 8 - 7 3.21
119 Montana BSky 21 - 10 14 - 4 3.15
120 Creighton BE 19 - 14 0 - 0 3.14
121 South Carolina SEC 14 - 16 5 - 11 3.07
122 San Francisco WCC 17 - 14 10 - 4 3.03
123 Georgia Tech ACC 13 - 18 5 - 11 3
124 Oklahoma BIG12 14 - 18 4 - 7 2.94
125 Robert Morris NEC 18 - 14 10 - 5 2.78
126 Saint Bonaventure A10 16 - 14 7 - 6 2.69
127 Iowa State BIG12 16 - 16 1 - 8 2.66
128 Furman SC 22 - 10 7 - 3 2.6
129 Stanford PAC12 15 - 16 7 - 11 2.44
130 Florida Atlantic CUSA 21 - 10 6 - 1 2.38
131 Oral Roberts SUM 19 - 15 7 - 3 2.15
132 Miami OH MAC 16 - 16 11 - 5 2.06
133 American PAT 22 - 9 11 - 3 2.02
134 IUPUI SUM 19 - 14 7 - 3 2
135 Idaho BSky 18 - 13 3 - 2 1.98
136 Boston PAT 21 - 13 0 - 1 1.71
137 Utah PAC12 13 - 18 0 - 0 1.69
138 Iowa Big10 11 - 20 4 - 14 1.65
139 Evansville MVC 15 - 15 9 - 7 1.61
140 Quinnipiac MAAC 22 - 9 3 - 0 1.59
141 George Washington A10 17 - 14 8 - 5 1.53
142 Providence BE 15 - 17 1 - 5 1.44
143 Jacksonville ASUN 19 - 11 10 - 2 1.38
144 Texas Tech BIG12 13 - 19 4 - 8 1.35
145 Arizona State PAC12 12 - 19 4 - 14 1.35
146 Detroit HOR 17 - 16 8 - 6 1.24
147 Austin Peay OVC 20 - 13 14 - 5 1.22
148 New Mexico State WAC 16 - 17 0 - 0 1.21
149 14 UC Santa Barbara BW 18 - 13 8 - 6 1.21
150 South Florida Amer 10 - 23 0 - 3 1.12
151 15 UNC Asheville BSth 19 - 13 10 - 6 0.63
152 Hawaii BW 18 - 12 2 - 1 0.52
153 Santa Clara WCC 19 - 14 8 - 7 0.52
154 Lipscomb ASUN 17 - 13 8 - 4 0.49
155 Ohio MAC 18 - 15 9 - 7 0.49
156 Rice CUSA 14 - 18 0 - 6 0.2
157 Southern Methodist Amer 17 - 14 5 - 4 0.18
158 North Texas CUSA 22 - 11 2 - 3 0.1
159 Buffalo MAC 18 - 13 8 - 8 0.08
160 15 Hampton MEAC 24 - 8 11 - 5 0.08
161 Western Michigan MAC 20 - 12 11 - 5 0.01
162 Central Connecticut State NEC 19 - 12 9 - 5 -0.01
163 Yale IVY 15 - 13 8 - 6 -0.09
164 Delaware CAA 14 - 17 6 - 6 -0.3
165 Saint Louis A10 12 - 19 5 - 7 -0.37
166 La Salle A10 15 - 18 5 - 7 -0.38
167 Northern Arizona BSky 19 - 12 9 - 7 -0.63
168 Indiana Big10 12 - 20 3 - 15 -0.64
169 Massachusetts A10 15 - 15 6 - 7 -0.68
170 San Jose State MWC 17 - 15 1 - 7 -0.73
171 Loyola MD PAT 15 - 15 0 - 1 -0.77
172 Davidson A10 17 - 14 0 - 1 -0.81
173 South Dakota State SUM 19 - 12 5 - 5 -0.94
174 Weber State BSky 18 - 13 12 - 5 -0.98
175 Tennessee Tech OVC 20 - 12 15 - 6 -1.14
176 Loyola Ill MVC 16 - 15 1 - 0 -1.2
177 Green Bay HOR 14 - 18 7 - 7 -1.21
178 Ball State MAC 19 - 13 10 - 6 -1.28
179 Sam Houston State SLND 18 - 13 6 - 4 -1.38
180 Western Carolina SC 18 - 15 5 - 6 -1.43
181 North Florida ASUN 15 - 19 8 - 4 -1.43
182 Saint Josephs A10 11 - 22 3 - 9 -1.53
183 Mcneese State SLND 21 - 11 9 - 4 -1.57
184 Canisius MAAC 15 - 15 8 - 8 -1.58
185 Northeastern CAA 11 - 20 4 - 7 -1.67
186 IPFW SUM 18 - 12 6 - 4 -1.78
187 Pennsylvania IVY 13 - 15 7 - 7 -1.84
188 Arkansas State SUN 17 - 15 7 - 1 -2.03
189 Nevada MWC 13 - 19 4 - 5 -2.26
190 Appalachian State SUN 16 - 15 1 - 1 -2.35
191 Oregon State PAC12 11 - 20 5 - 14 -2.47
192 Pacific WCC 16 - 15 1 - 1 -2.49
193 15 Arkansas Little Rock SUN 19 - 16 4 - 4 -2.5
194 Western Kentucky CUSA 16 - 16 4 - 3 -2.8
195 Siena MAAC 13 - 18 7 - 9 -2.85
196 Columbia IVY 15 - 13 6 - 8 -2.86
197 Texas San Antonio CUSA 19 - 13 0 - 0 -3.12
198 Wagner NEC 13 - 17 6 - 9 -3.21
199 Liberty BSth 19 - 13 12 - 4 -3.22
200 Virginia Military Institute SC 18 - 13 0 - 0 -3.31
201 Lehigh PAT 16 - 15 6 - 8 -3.35
202 Fresno State MWC 14 - 17 2 - 7 -3.49
203 Mercer SC 15 - 18 1 - 2 -3.5
204 Cal Poly BW 15 - 15 9 - 6 -3.53
205 Texas Christian BIG12 11 - 22 1 - 0 -3.58
206 Southern Illinois MVC 13 - 19 5 - 11 -3.73
207 Maine AE 15 - 15 8 - 6 -3.78
208 UL Lafayette SUN 14 - 15 6 - 2 -3.89
209 William and Mary CAA 10 - 22 3 - 9 -3.93
210 Cornell IVY 10 - 18 6 - 8 -3.94
211 UNC Wilmington CAA 13 - 18 6 - 5 -4.13
212 Texas Southern SWAC 19 - 12 16 - 2 -4.15
213 Middle Tennessee CUSA 16 - 16 5 - 3 -4.15
214 Charlotte CUSA 10 - 20 0 - 0 -4.21
215 Saint Francis Brooklyn NEC 15 - 15 9 - 7 -4.3
216 Drake MVC 13 - 18 6 - 10 -4.4
217 Bradley MVC 12 - 20 3 - 13 -4.56
218 Bethune Cookman MEAC 21 - 12 15 - 3 -4.59
219 Chattanooga SC 16 - 16 7 - 4 -4.72
220 Stephen F Austin SLND 18 - 11 6 - 4 -4.75
221 Morgan State MEAC 17 - 14 10 - 6 -4.89
222 Georgia State SUN 12 - 19 1 - 1 -4.93
223 Presbyterian BSth 13 - 18 6 - 10 -5.01
224 Auburn SEC 11 - 20 4 - 12 -5.23
225 Albany AE 16 - 16 9 - 5 -5.27
226 North Dakota State SUM 14 - 15 5 - 6 -5.33
227 Tulane Amer 13 - 17 2 - 7 -5.39
228 Houston Amer 12 - 18 4 - 5 -5.41
229 Louisiana State SEC 11 - 21 3 - 13 -5.43
230 Winthrop BSth 13 - 17 8 - 8 -5.52
231 DePaul BE 7 - 24 1 - 5 -5.54
232 UMKC WAC 16 - 14 1 - 0 -5.66
233 Texas State SUN 16 - 16 2 - 1 -5.67
234 Lafayette PAT 13 - 19 6 - 8 -5.7
235 Stony Brook AE 15 - 17 8 - 6 -5.92
236 Charleston Southern BSth 16 - 16 7 - 9 -5.94
237 Southeast Louisiana SLND 15 - 14 8 - 5 -6.21
238 Pepperdine WCC 12 - 21 6 - 9 -6.33
239 Bowling Green MAC 14 - 19 8 - 8 -6.35
240 Denver SUM 13 - 17 0 - 1 -6.45
241 Tennessee State OVC 14 - 16 10 - 9 -6.62
242 Cal State Northridge BW 14 - 18 8 - 6 -6.66
243 Utah Valley WAC 19 - 11 5 - 2 -6.75
244 Brown IVY 11 - 17 4 - 10 -6.76
245 Northwestern State SLND 18 - 14 10 - 4 -6.84
246 Eastern Kentucky OVC 15 - 16 11 - 9 -6.96
247 Coppin State MEAC 16 - 14 11 - 7 -7.03
248 Nicholls State SLND 14 - 14 6 - 7 -7.14
249 Mt St Marys NEC 11 - 21 7 - 8 -7.23
250 Savannah State MEAC 12 - 18 1 - 1 -7.4
251 Loyola Marymount WCC 11 - 21 2 - 12 -7.5
252 Wyoming MWC 10 - 21 2 - 8 -7.53
253 Illinois State MVC 12 - 19 4 - 12 -7.66
254 Elon CAA 14 - 17 0 - 1 -7.79
255 Jackson State SWAC 17 - 15 12 - 6 -8.05
256 15 Alabama State SWAC 17 - 17 11 - 7 -8.24
257 Wake Forest ACC 8 - 24 1 - 13 -8.42
258 Southern Utah BSky 11 - 19 0 - 1 -8.52
259 North Carolina AT MEAC 15 - 17 10 - 8 -8.55
260 Louisiana Tech CUSA 12 - 20 0 - 0 -9.01
261 UC Riverside BW 12 - 19 6 - 8 -9.01
262 Sacred Heart NEC 11 - 18 4 - 10 -9.04
263 Bryant NEC 9 - 21 6 - 8 -9.08
264 Fordham A10 7 - 21 1 - 11 -9.15
265 UC Irvine BW 13 - 19 5 - 9 -9.16
266 Campbell BSth 12 - 19 1 - 1 -9.26
267 Illinois Chicago HOR 7 - 24 2 - 12 -9.28
268 Holy Cross PAT 8 - 21 7 - 7 -9.3
269 Gardner Webb BSth 11 - 21 6 - 10 -9.39
270 South Alabama SUN 12 - 16 3 - 4 -9.5
271 Portland State BSky 14 - 16 5 - 11 -9.57
272 Saint Francis Penn NEC 9 - 21 6 - 9 -9.58
273 North Dakota BSky 19 - 14 1 - 2 -9.62
274 Mississippi Valley State SWAC 13 - 19 12 - 6 -9.63
275 Troy SUN 8 - 21 2 - 5 -9.64
276 Montana State BSky 13 - 18 7 - 10 -9.67
277 Texas Arlington SUN 13 - 16 1 - 1 -9.72
278 Hartford AE 11 - 20 6 - 8 -9.77
279 High Point BSth 12 - 19 7 - 9 -9.85
280 Norfolk State MEAC 12 - 20 9 - 9 -9.92
281 Niagara MAAC 9 - 23 4 - 13 -9.94
282 16 Florida Gulf Coast ASUN 10 - 20 5 - 7 -10.04
283 Navy PAT 11 - 20 6 - 8 -10.05
284 Eastern Washington BSky 10 - 20 7 - 10 -10.08
285 Youngstown State HOR 9 - 21 1 - 13 -10.12
286 UNC Greensboro SC 7 - 24 2 - 7 -10.2
287 North Carolina Central MEAC 15 - 15 10 - 6 -10.36
288 16 Lamar SLND 13 - 17 5 - 8 -10.36
289 New Hampshire AE 12 - 18 5 - 9 -10.38
290 Florida International CUSA 11 - 19 0 - 8 -10.61
291 16 Seattle WAC 11 - 20 2 - 1 -10.63
292 The Citadel SC 10 - 22 3 - 6 -10.63
293 Army PAT 11 - 19 3 - 11 -10.77
294 Cal State Fullerton BW 11 - 20 5 - 10 -10.83
295 UC Davis BW 10 - 20 4 - 11 -10.99
296 Monmouth MAAC 9 - 21 0 - 3 -11.1
297 Tennessee Martin OVC 12 - 21 7 - 13 -11.21
298 Towson CAA 4 - 26 0 - 12 -11.54
299 South Dakota SUM 18 - 15 0 - 0 -11.55
300 Texas AM CC SLND 10 - 21 4 - 6 -11.58
301 Manhattan MAAC 6 - 25 3 - 13 -11.73
302 Stetson ASUN 8 - 23 4 - 8 -11.75
303 SE Missouri State OVC 10 - 22 7 - 13 -11.85
304 Samford SC 12 - 19 2 - 9 -11.97
305 NJ Tech Ind 15 - 15 4 - 0 -12.09
306 Central Michigan MAC 10 - 21 7 - 9 -12.18
307 San Diego WCC 6 - 24 2 - 12 -12.19
308 Binghamton AE 8 - 23 4 - 10 -12.27
309 Alabama AM SWAC 13 - 15 10 - 8 -12.63
310 Idaho State BSky 9 - 20 4 - 12 -12.67
311 Marist MAAC 6 - 27 3 - 13 -12.79
312 Eastern Illinois OVC 9 - 20 4 - 14 -12.96
313 Longwood BSth 12 - 19 1 - 1 -13.13
314 Northern Illinois MAC 9 - 21 5 - 11 -13.2
315 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 9 - 19 0 - 1 -13.61
316 Colgate PAT 7 - 23 4 - 10 -13.71
317 Grambling State SWAC 12 - 21 8 - 10 -13.82
318 South Carolina Upstate ASUN 5 - 25 2 - 10 -14.03
319 Kennesaw St ASUN 8 - 23 5 - 7 -14.24
320 Delaware State MEAC 9 - 21 6 - 11 -14.44
321 Eastern Michigan MAC 9 - 22 5 - 11 -14.58
322 Dartmouth IVY 5 - 23 1 - 13 -14.83
323 Florida AM MEAC 12 - 20 8 - 11 -15.67
324 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 9 - 22 5 - 12 -16.11
325 UMBC AE 5 - 25 3 - 11 -16.16
326 UL Monroe SUN 7 - 24 1 - 7 -16.17
327 Sacramento State BSky 7 - 21 4 - 13 -16.38
328 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 5 - 24 3 - 11 -16.55
329 Jacksonville State OVC 5 - 25 3 - 15 -16.85
330 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 7 - 24 7 - 11 -17.22
331 Prairie View SWAC 10 - 22 7 - 11 -17.57
332 South Carolina State MEAC 10 - 22 5 - 13 -17.63
333 SIU Edwardsville OVC 8 - 21 0 - 9 -18.45
334 Howard MEAC 6 - 24 4 - 13 -18.78
335 Radford BSth 5 - 24 2 - 14 -19.04
336 16 Western Illinois SUM 7 - 23 1 - 9 -19.07
337 Toledo MAC 4 - 28 1 - 15 -19.58
338 Alcorn State SWAC 4 - 24 4 - 14 -20.05
339 Georgia Southern SUN 5 - 27 1 - 2 -20.56
340 Central Arkansas SLND 5 - 24 1 - 12 -21.24
341 Texas Pan American WAC 6 - 25 0 - 4 -21.33
342 Houston Baptist SLND 5 - 26 0 - 1 -21.75
343 Chicago State WAC 6 - 26 2 - 2 -22.84
344 Southern SWAC 4 - 26 3 - 15 -23.73
345 New Orleans SLND 0 - 1 0 - 0 -19675.39